
Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? — final odds
"Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?" resolved NO on October 25, 2026 at a final price of 2¢ YES — a 2% implied probability — after $51K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
2%
implied probability
recent price
-26¢ over the window
-26¢
24h change
$46K
24h volume
$51K
total volume
Oct 25, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Quick answers
How did "Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on October 25, 2026. Its final traded price was 2¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 2¢ — an implied probability of 2%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$51K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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