Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? — final odds

Resolved NO · November 3, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?" resolved NO on November 3, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $89K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

1%

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$334

24h volume

$89K

total volume

Nov 3, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±20.3¢ swing band

    138d ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 17¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)

    138d ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.7¢ swing band

    138d ago
  • Odds swing

    99¢ → 8¢ (-91¢ in 15 min)

    138d ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.5¢ swing band

    138d ago
  • Odds swing

    99¢ → 86¢ (-13¢ in 15 min)

    138d ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.4¢ swing band

    138d ago
  • Odds swing

    83¢ → 99¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)

    138d ago
  • High volatility

    ±15.9¢ swing band

    138d ago
  • Odds swing

    4¢ → 83¢ (+79¢ in 15 min)

    138d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on November 3, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$89K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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