Which outcome is favored for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

The market currently favors Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 20% implied probability (YES trading at 20¢).

How much has been traded on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

$1.3B has been traded across 51 outcome markets, $963K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.

Event odds table

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — live odds

51 outcomes$1.3B traded$963K · 24hresolves by November 7, 2028

Live Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 odds: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads the field at 20% implied probability, ahead of Jon Ossoff (15%) and Gavin Newsom (14%). All 51 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.3B traded ($963K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 7, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20%

implied probability (20¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 51

Full market details →

1Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

20%20¢ · $5K 24h 2Jon Ossoff

15%15¢ · $2K 24h 3Gavin Newsom

14%14¢ · $3K 24h 4Kamala Harris

8%8¢ · $2K 24h 5Pete Buttigieg

6%6¢ · $2K 24h 6Josh Shapiro

5%5¢ · $1K 24h 7Mark Kelly

3%3¢ · $3K 24h 8Rahm Emanuel

3%3¢ · $53 24h 9James Talarico

3%3¢ · $970 24h 10Andy Beshear

2%2¢ · $19K 24h 11Ro Khanna

2%2¢ · $772 24h 12Wes Moore

2%2¢ · $291 24h 13J.B. Pritzker

1%1¢ · $9K 24h 14Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

1%1¢ · $215 24h 15Michelle Obama

1%1¢ · $368 24h 16Gretchen Whitmer

1%1¢ · $1K 24h 17Cory Booker

1%1¢ · $15K 24h 18Bernie Sanders

1%1¢ · $741 24h 19Raphael Warnock

1%1¢ · $2K 24h 20Mark Cuban

1%1¢ · $805 24h 21Hunter Biden

0%0¢ · $774 24h 22Jon Stewart

0%0¢ · $116 24h 23Chris Murphy

0%0¢ · $138 24h 24Chelsea Clinton

0%0¢ · $15K 24h 25Roy Cooper

0%0¢ · $242 24h 26Barack Obama

0%0¢ · $437 24h 27Zohran Mamdani

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 28Elissa Slotkin

0%0¢ · $276 24h 29Liz Cheney

0%0¢ · $326 24h 30Oprah Winfrey

0%0¢ · $2K 24h 31Andrew Yang

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 32LeBron James

0%0¢ · $349 24h 33Hillary Clinton

0%0¢ · $21K 24h 34George Clooney

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 35Tim Walz

0%0¢ · $244K 24h 36Kim Kardashian

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 37Beto O’Rourke

0%0¢ · $792 24h 38MrBeast

0%0¢ · $3K 24h 39Jasmine Crockett

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 40Gina Raimondo

0%0¢ · $561 24h 41Jared Polis

0%0¢ · $626 24h 42John Fetterman

0%0¢ · $364 24h 43Stephen A. Smith

0%0¢ · $576K 24h 44Graham Platner

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 45Ruben Gallego

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 46Josh Stein

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 47Abigail Spanberger

0%0¢ · $58 24h 48Phil Murphy

0%0¢ · $1K 24h 49Hakeem Jeffries

0%0¢ · $8 24h 50Alex Padilla

0%0¢ · $8K 24h 51Adam Schiff

0%0¢ · $8K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?: The market currently favors Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 20% implied probability (YES trading at 20¢).
How much has been traded on Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?: $1.3B has been traded across 51 outcome markets, $963K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.

Get alerts on every outcome

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