Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? final odds

Resolved YES · August 1, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?" resolved YES on August 1, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $94K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

+12¢ over the window

+12¢

24h change

$28K

24h volume

$94K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

General elections to elect the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Negeri Sembilan State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. A representative will count towards the named party or coalition under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/). Whether any listed party or coalition engages in a parliamentary coalition with any other listed party or coalition will have no bearing on this market. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Negeri Sembilan governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).

Quick answers

How did "Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$94K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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