Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 14, 2026Final price 4¢ YES — the market gave this a 4% implied probability.

"Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?" resolved NO on August 14, 2026 at a final price of 4¢ YES — a 4% implied probability — after $74K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 4¢NO 96¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$13K

24h volume

$74K

total volume

Aug 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±29.9¢ swing band
54d ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 83¢ (+71¢ in 15 min)
54d ago
High volatility
±5¢ swing band
54d ago
High volatility
±19.1¢ swing band
54d ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 15¢ (-81¢ in 15 min)
54d ago
High volatility
±5.3¢ swing band
54d ago

How this market resolves

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

Quick answers

How did "Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 14, 2026. Its final traded price was 4¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 4¢ — an implied probability of 4%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.