Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? — final odds
"Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?" resolved NO on August 11, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $58K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-75¢ over the window
-75¢
24h change
$62
24h volume
$58K
total volume
Aug 11, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 47d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.084 · edge: 0.906
- 47d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.093 · edge: 0.897
- 47d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.092 · edge: 0.898
- 47d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.092 · edge: 0.898
- 47d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.113 · edge: 0.877
- 47d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.115 · edge: 0.875
- 48d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.116 · edge: 0.874
- 49d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.117 · edge: 0.873
- 49d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.117 · edge: 0.873
- 49d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.117 · edge: 0.873
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Quick answers
How did "Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on August 11, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$58K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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