Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 4, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?" resolved NO on August 4, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $40K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

24h volume

$40K

total volume

Aug 4, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±28¢ swing band
47d ago
Odds swing
89¢ → 2¢ (-87¢ in 15 min)
47d ago
High volatility
±41.3¢ swing band
47d ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 86¢ (-8.6¢ in 15 min)
47d ago
High volatility
±25.7¢ swing band
47d ago
Odds swing
27¢ → 89¢ (+62.3¢ in 15 min)
47d ago
High volatility
±25.7¢ swing band
47d ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 94¢ (+52.8¢ in 15 min)
47d ago
High volatility
±25.6¢ swing band
47d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 94¢ (+92.8¢ in 15 min)
47d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Quick answers

How did "Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.