Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? final odds

Resolved YES · August 12, 2026Final price 95¢ YES — the market gave this a 96% implied probability.

"Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?" resolved YES on August 12, 2026 at a final price of 95¢ YES — a 96% implied probability — after $51K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

96%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$51K

total volume

Aug 12, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of the Cook Islands as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose candidates received the greater combined number of valid votes across all constituencies. If multiple tied parties also received the same combined number of valid votes, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.

Quick answers

How did "Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 12, 2026. Its final traded price was 95¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 95¢ — an implied probability of 96%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$51K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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