Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? — live odds

Part of Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %· see all 2 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?" is trading at a 54% implied probability, with YES at 54¢ and NO at 47¢. $54K has changed hands so far, $1K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by June 30, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

54%

implied probability

YES 54¢NO 47¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$54K

total volume

Jun 30, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±9.7¢ swing band
26d ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 56¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)
26d ago
High volatility
±21.4¢ swing band
26d ago
Odds swing
67¢ → 1¢ (-66¢ in 15 min)
26d ago

How this market resolves

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).