Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? — live odds
"Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $61K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 4, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-13¢ over the window
-13¢
24h change
—
24h volume
$61K
total volume
Aug 4, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 16d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.969 · edge: 0.021
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by August 4, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$61K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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