Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? — live odds
"Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $455K has changed hands so far, $5K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-9¢ over the window
-9¢
24h change
$5K
24h volume
$455K
total volume
Sep 13, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 7m ago
High volatility
±13.2¢ swing band
- 32m ago
High volatility
±27¢ swing band
- 32m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 64¢ (+63.7¢ in 15 min)
- 47m ago
High volatility
±35.3¢ swing band
- 1h ago
High volatility
±18.3¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
63¢ → 0¢ (-62.8¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±30.4¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 78¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±13.9¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±19.6¢ swing band
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$455K has been traded in total, $5K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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