Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? — final odds

Resolved YES · September 1, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

"Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?" resolved YES on September 1, 2026 at a final price of 99¢ YES — a 99% implied probability — after $70K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$70K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±19¢ swing band
27d ago
High volatility
±20.2¢ swing band
27d ago
Odds swing
82¢ → 73¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
27d ago
High volatility
±4.9¢ swing band
27d ago
High volatility
±29.7¢ swing band
27d ago
Odds swing
7¢ → 79¢ (+72¢ in 15 min)
27d ago
High volatility
±7.9¢ swing band
27d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 81¢ (+80¢ in 15 min)
27d ago
High volatility
±38¢ swing band
27d ago
Odds swing
6¢ → 79¢ (+73¢ in 15 min)
27d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Quick answers

How did "Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on September 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.