Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? — live odds

"Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $3K has changed hands so far, $1K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 25, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

0%

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$3K

total volume

Oct 25, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?"?

The market currently prices YES at — and NO at —, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 25, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/.

How much has been traded on this market?

$3K has been traded in total, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.

Get alerted when this market moves

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