Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? — live odds

Part of Bulgaria Presidential Election· see all 14 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?" is trading at a 79% implied probability, with YES at 79¢ and NO at 21¢. $663K has changed hands so far, $75K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 26, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

79%

implied probability

YES 79¢NO 21¢

recent price

-10¢ over the window

-10¢

24h change

$75K

24h volume

$663K

total volume

Oct 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.958 · edge: 0.032
126d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.914 · edge: 0.076
132d ago

How this market resolves

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).