Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 18, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?" resolved YES on August 18, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $79K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+18¢ over the window

+18¢

24h change

$41K

24h volume

$79K

total volume

Aug 18, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Quick answers

How did "Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 18, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.