Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 6, 2026Final price 96¢ YES — the market gave this a 96% implied probability.

"Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?" resolved YES on August 6, 2026 at a final price of 96¢ YES — a 96% implied probability — after $40K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

96%

implied probability

YES 96¢NO 5¢

recent price

+65¢ over the window

+65¢

24h change

$20K

24h volume

$40K

total volume

Aug 6, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 6, 2026. Its final traded price was 96¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 96¢ — an implied probability of 96%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.