
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? — final odds
"Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?" resolved YES on October 26, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $93K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
100%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$13K
24h volume
$93K
total volume
Oct 26, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Quick answers
How did "Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?" resolve?
This market resolved YES on October 26, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$93K was traded over the market's lifetime.
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Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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