
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? — final odds
"Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?" resolved NO on October 12, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $45K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
-9¢ over the window
-9¢
24h change
—
24h volume
$45K
total volume
Oct 12, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 113d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.782 · edge: 0.208
- 114d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.762 · edge: 0.228
- 115d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.766 · edge: 0.224
- 115d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.77 · edge: 0.22
- 115d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.761 · edge: 0.229
- 115d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.761 · edge: 0.229
- 115d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.761 · edge: 0.229
- 115d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.764 · edge: 0.226
- 115d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.759 · edge: 0.231
- 115d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.764 · edge: 0.226
How this market resolves
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Quick answers
How did "Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on October 12, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$45K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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