Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? live odds

77%

implied probability

YES 77¢NO 23¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$478

24h volume

$115K

total volume

Sep 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.955 · edge: 0.035

    33d ago
How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"?

The market currently prices YES at 77¢ and NO at 23¢, an implied probability of 77% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$115K has been traded in total, $478 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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