Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? — live odds

Part of Next Prime Minister of Sweden· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?" is trading at a 79% implied probability, with YES at 79¢ and NO at 21¢. $447K has changed hands so far, $22K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

79%

implied probability

YES 79¢NO 21¢

recent price

+4¢ over the window

+4¢

24h change

$22K

24h volume

$447K

total volume

Sep 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.955 · edge: 0.035
78d ago

How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.