Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? — final odds

Resolved NO · July 31, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

Part of María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?· see all 3 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?" resolved NO on July 31, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $291K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$291K

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

How did "Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 31, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.