Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? — final odds

Resolved YES · November 1, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?" resolved YES on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $191K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$92K

24h volume

$191K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

How did "Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on November 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.