Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? — final odds

Resolved YES · October 27, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

"Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?" resolved YES on October 27, 2026 at a final price of 99¢ YES — a 99% implied probability — after $71K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

—

24h change

$18K

24h volume

$71K

total volume

Oct 27, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

Quick answers

How did "Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on October 27, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.