Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? final odds

Resolved NO · August 18, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?" resolved NO on August 18, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $39K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 99¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$10

24h volume

$39K

total volume

Aug 18, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Quick answers

How did "Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 18, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$39K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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