Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? — live odds

Part of Largest Company end of August?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $122K has changed hands so far, $8K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$8K

24h volume

$122K

total volume

Aug 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±17.4¢ swing band
5m ago
High volatility
±23.8¢ swing band
20m ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 54¢ (+40.8¢ in 15 min)
20m ago
High volatility
±22.8¢ swing band
35m ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 70¢ (+65.5¢ in 15 min)
35m ago
Volume spike
$40 traded — 7.1× the average
36m ago
High volatility
±14.6¢ swing band
50m ago
Volume spike
$47 traded — 8.3× the average
57m ago
High volatility
±25.6¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
14¢ → 47¢ (+32.9¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.