Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? — live odds
"Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?" is trading at a 21% implied probability, with YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢. $526K has changed hands so far, $57K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 26, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.
21%
implied probability
recent price
+9¢ over the window
+9¢
24h change
$57K
24h volume
$526K
total volume
Oct 26, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?"?
The market currently prices YES at 21¢ and NO at 79¢, an implied probability of 21% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 26, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.cik.bg/.
How much has been traded on this market?
$526K has been traded in total, $57K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Politics markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%