
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? — live odds
95%
implied probability
recent price
-1¢ over the window
-1¢
24h change
$9K
24h volume
$989K
total volume
Jun 30, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?"?
The market currently prices YES at 95¢ and NO at 5¢, an implied probability of 95% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by June 30, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$989K has been traded in total, $9K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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