Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 18, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?" resolved NO on August 18, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $55K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$12K

24h volume

$55K

total volume

Aug 18, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 18, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.