Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? — final odds

Resolved YES · October 27, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?" resolved YES on October 27, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $679K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$285K

24h volume

$679K

total volume

Oct 27, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Quick answers

How did "Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on October 27, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.