Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 11, 2026Final price 3¢ YES — the market gave this a 3% implied probability.

"Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?" resolved NO on August 11, 2026 at a final price of 3¢ YES — a 3% implied probability — after $43K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$43K

total volume

Aug 11, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Quick answers

How did "Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 11, 2026. Its final traded price was 3¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 3¢ — an implied probability of 3%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.