
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election? — final odds
"Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?" resolved NO on November 4, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $61K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
1%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$29K
24h volume
$61K
total volume
Nov 4, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Quick answers
How did "Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on November 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$61K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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