Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 11, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?" resolved NO on August 11, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $38K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 100¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$38K

total volume

Aug 11, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±11¢ swing band
54d ago
Odds swing
33¢ → 78¢ (+44.6¢ in 15 min)
54d ago
High volatility
±15.7¢ swing band
54d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 16¢ (-83.4¢ in 15 min)
54d ago
Odds swing
34¢ → 92¢ (+58.3¢ in 15 min)
54d ago
High volatility
±17.2¢ swing band
54d ago
Odds swing
91¢ → 12¢ (-78.8¢ in 15 min)
54d ago
High volatility
±8.2¢ swing band
54d ago
High volatility
±17.6¢ swing band
54d ago
Odds swing
73¢ → 78¢ (+5¢ in 15 min)
54d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Quick answers

How did "Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 11, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.