Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 11, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

Part of Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?" resolved NO on August 11, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $144K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$144K

total volume

Aug 11, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±21.3¢ swing band
51d ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 54¢ (-39.3¢ in 15 min)
51d ago
High volatility
±11.8¢ swing band
51d ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 93¢ (+14.8¢ in 15 min)
51d ago
High volatility
±25.4¢ swing band
51d ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 27¢ (-63.4¢ in 15 min)
51d ago
High volatility
±23.2¢ swing band
51d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 83¢ (+82¢ in 15 min)
51d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Quick answers

How did "Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 11, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.