Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? — final odds

Resolved NO · September 1, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?" resolved NO on September 1, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $88K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$88K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±29.6¢ swing band
75d ago
Odds swing
35¢ → 88¢ (+53¢ in 15 min)
75d ago
High volatility
±10.9¢ swing band
75d ago
Odds swing
83¢ → 24¢ (-59¢ in 15 min)
75d ago
High volatility
±17.4¢ swing band
75d ago
High volatility
±31.8¢ swing band
75d ago
Odds swing
25¢ → 98¢ (+73.5¢ in 15 min)
75d ago
High volatility
±36.6¢ swing band
75d ago
High volatility
±13.3¢ swing band
75d ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 37¢ (-61¢ in 15 min)
75d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Quick answers

How did "Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on September 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.