Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat? — final odds

Resolved YES · November 4, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?" resolved YES on November 4, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $56K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$56K

total volume

Nov 4, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Quick answers

How did "Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on November 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.