Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? live odds

1%

implied probability

YES NO 99¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$100

24h volume

$125K

total volume

Sep 30, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±13.7¢ swing band

    30d ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.7¢ swing band

    30d ago
  • Odds swing

    74¢ → 93¢ (+19¢ in 15 min)

    30d ago
  • Odds swing

    75¢ → 91¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)

    30d ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.1¢ swing band

    30d ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.7¢ swing band

    36d ago
  • Odds swing

    61¢ → 5¢ (-55.8¢ in 15 min)

    36d ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.6¢ swing band

    36d ago
  • Odds swing

    54¢ → 2¢ (-51.6¢ in 15 min)

    36d ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.6¢ swing band

    36d ago
How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$125K has been traded in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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