Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat? — final odds

Resolved NO · November 4, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?" resolved NO on November 4, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $55K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$19K

24h volume

$55K

total volume

Nov 4, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Quick answers

How did "Will the Democratic Party win the KS-02 House seat?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on November 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$55K was traded over the market's lifetime.

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