
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? — final odds
"Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?" resolved YES on November 4, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $604K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
100%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$78K
24h volume
$604K
total volume
Nov 4, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 136d ago
High volatility
±21.2¢ swing band
- 136d ago
High volatility
±25¢ swing band
- 136d ago
High volatility
±35.9¢ swing band
- 136d ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 96¢ (+80¢ in 15 min)
- 136d ago
High volatility
±39¢ swing band
- 136d ago
Odds swing
8¢ → 99¢ (+91¢ in 15 min)
- 136d ago
High volatility
±25.3¢ swing band
- 138d ago
High volatility
±12.4¢ swing band
- 138d ago
High volatility
±11.5¢ swing band
- 138d ago
Odds swing
36¢ → 75¢ (+39¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Quick answers
How did "Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?" resolve?
This market resolved YES on November 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$604K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Politics markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%