Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027? — live odds

Part of Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?· see all 2 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $1K has changed hands so far, $903 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this science market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$903

24h volume

$1K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.