
Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? — live odds
"Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $38K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
—
24h volume
$38K
total volume
Sep 13, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 75d ago
High volatility
±5.3¢ swing band
- 75d ago
Odds swing
56¢ → 3¢ (-53¢ in 15 min)
- 75d ago
High volatility
±45.5¢ swing band
- 75d ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 9¢ (-60.3¢ in 15 min)
- 75d ago
High volatility
±36.9¢ swing band
- 75d ago
High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
- 75d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 64¢ (+60¢ in 15 min)
- 75d ago
High volatility
±14.8¢ swing band
- 75d ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 7¢ (-92.4¢ in 15 min)
- 75d ago
High volatility
±2.7¢ swing band
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$38K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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