Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? — live odds
"Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $5K has changed hands so far, $578 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$578
24h volume
$5K
total volume
Jan 1, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?"?
The market currently prices YES at — and NO at —, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$5K has been traded in total, $578 of it in the last 24 hours.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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