Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 27, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

📲 Open in app

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

+7¢ over the window

+7¢

24h change

$46K

24h volume

$50K

total volume

Jul 27, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Michigan on July 27, 2026 (https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2026/07/23/trump-michigan-economic-speech-gordie-howe-bridge-opening/91023769007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during remarks in Michigan scheduled for July 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's visit to Michigan, scheduled for July 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Quick answers

How did "Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 27, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.