Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? — final odds

Resolved NO · November 1, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?" resolved NO on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $45K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$220

24h volume

$45K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on November 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.