Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? — final odds

Resolved YES · September 2, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?" resolved YES on September 2, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $40K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+3¢ over the window

+3¢

24h change

$574

24h volume

$40K

total volume

Sep 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on September 2, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.