Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? — final odds

This market has ended · September 6, 2026Final price 64¢ YES — the market gave this a 64% implied probability.

"Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?" resolved on September 6, 2026 at a final price of 64¢ YES — a 64% implied probability — after $137K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

64%

implied probability

YES 64¢NO 37¢

recent price

+8¢ over the window

+8¢

24h change

$14K

24h volume

$137K

total volume

Sep 6, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?" resolve?

This market ended on September 6, 2026 with a final traded price of 64¢ YES (64% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 64¢ — an implied probability of 64%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.