Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? — final odds

Resolved YES · November 4, 2026Final price 98¢ YES — the market gave this a 98% implied probability.

"Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?" resolved YES on November 4, 2026 at a final price of 98¢ YES — a 98% implied probability — after $101K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

98%

implied probability

YES 98¢NO 2¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$101K

total volume

Nov 4, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

How did "Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on November 4, 2026. Its final traded price was 98¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 98¢ — an implied probability of 98%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$101K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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