Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? — final odds

Resolved YES · November 2, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?" resolved YES on November 2, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $70K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+7¢ over the window

+7¢

24h change

$22K

24h volume

$70K

total volume

Nov 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2021 example: https://results.cik.bg/pvrns2021/tur2/aktivnost/index.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).

Quick answers

How did "Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on November 2, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$70K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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