Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 29, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?" resolved YES on July 29, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $33K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$24K

24h volume

$33K

total volume

Jul 29, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Quick answers

How did "Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 29, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.