Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election? — live odds

Part of Clacton by-election: 2nd place· see all 4 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $9K has changed hands so far, $426 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by June 30, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

+69¢ over the window

+69¢

24h change

$426

24h volume

$9K

total volume

Jun 30, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).