Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? — live odds

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"Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $3K has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 24, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$3K

total volume

Sep 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.