
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — live odds
0%
implied probability
recent price
-74¢ over the window
-74¢
24h change
$20K
24h volume
$1.8M
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 6d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.97 · edge: 0.02
- 32d ago
High volatility
±35.5¢ swing band
- 32d ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 96¢ (+84.7¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
Odds swing
83¢ → 97¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
High volatility
±7.8¢ swing band
- 32d ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 87¢ (+77.4¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
Odds swing
56¢ → 12¢ (-44.6¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 17¢ (-63.4¢ in 15 min)
- 32d ago
High volatility
±13.1¢ swing band
- 32d ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 67¢ (-28¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$1.8M has been traded in total, $20K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Politics markets
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
54%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
28%